It is once again a difficult time for millions of motorists in South Africa, as petrol and diesel prices are going to increase drastically from the first week of July 2025. In the last few months, people had gotten some relief due to the reduction in fuel prices four times, which had raised the hope of the common citizens that perhaps there would be some relief from inflation. But this relief was for a very short time. Now this relief seems to be ending due to the instability in oil prices in the global market and domestic policies. In such a situation, this fuel price hike can prove to be another big blow for the families who were already struggling with inflation and economic challenges.
Oil market turmoil and rising petrol prices—the role of global tensions
According to a recent report released by South Africa’s Central Energy Fund (CEF), this increase in fuel prices is mainly due to the instability in the international oil market. Petrol prices are likely to increase by 50 to 53 cents per liter, which may vary depending on the grade. At the same time, diesel prices are expected to increase by 82 to 84 cents per liter, which is quite worrying. The biggest reason for this increase is the huge fluctuations in the prices of Brent crude oil. During the month of June, crude oil prices went from $62.90 to $75.40 per barrel, which is an extraordinary situation. A major role in this has been played by the increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, especially the military attacks by Israel and America on Iran’s nuclear centers, which shook the international market.
These events not only affect global politics but also affect the fuel supply chain, insurance rates, and sea transportation costs. In such a situation, import-dependent countries like South Africa have to bear its direct impact, and as a result, the common citizens have to bear its burden.
Difference in prices between coastal and internal areas—impact on every consumer
This increase in prices is not only affecting a particular area, but it is also having a widespread impact on the entire country. As per the new rates, the price of 95 unleaded petrol is likely to reach R21.09 per liter in coastal areas, while it may go up to R21.88 per liter in the interior areas. The price of 93 unleaded petrol may be around R21.74 in the inland areas. The situation is even more worrying for diesel consumers, as the price of 50ppm diesel may reach R18.65 in coastal areas and R19.41 per liter in the inland areas.
This will directly affect everyone who uses a private or commercial vehicle for daily transportation. In addition, due to the increase in the cost of transport companies, the prices of goods will also increase, due to which food items, consumer goods and other essential services will also become expensive. This will become the cost of not just fuel, but an entire lifestyle.
Rand strengthens—some relief but not a solution.
However, the only relief amid the rise in crude oil prices was the strengthening of the South African Rand. According to reports, the average price of Brent crude during the review period was $63.95, which was well above the cost price. But the improvement in the rand exchange rate reduced this effect a little. Still, if the currency had not strengthened, petrol prices could have increased by 68 cents and diesel by up to R1.
While this is a technical relief, it has not really become a big relief for the general public. Most people are still forced to buy fuel at the same increased price and are not in a position to understand the complexities of these international changes.
Fuel tax hike—government move dashes hopes of relief
The increase in fuel taxes implemented in June 2025 has made the situation more serious. The government has increased the general fuel tax on petrol by 16 cents and diesel by 15 cents per liter. With this, the total tax on a liter of petrol has now become around R6.37. This increase has been made at a time when the country is already grappling with economic slowdown, unemployment and rising inflation.
The government’s approach may be to increase tax revenue, but it has become another burden for the common citizen. Especially for those who are already surviving on minimum wages, this increase can become a major economic hurdle. This move can further deepen the trust gap between the government and the public.
Impact on cost of living—everything became expensive.
The biggest and most widespread impact of the fuel price hike is on the cost of common living. When petrol and diesel are expensive, everything—be it groceries, school bus service, hospital ambulance, or tractor reaching the fields—everything becomes expensive. Its impact is not limited to urban areas only, but its echo is felt in rural and remote areas as well.
This situation is especially worrying for the poor and middle class. Families already living on a limited budget may now have to cut down on their basic needs. Even essential expenses like children’s education, medicines for the elderly, and daily food are now becoming a challenge.
Questions on fuel policy and demand for transparency
Many consumer organizations, including the Automobile Association, have clearly asked the government for what purpose so many taxes imposed on fuel are being used. Why? Is this money being spent on building roads, improving public transport or green energy projects? Or has it become just an easy way to fill the budget? Unless the government shows transparency in this regard, public discontent will continue to grow.
It is time for the government to comprehensively review tax policy and make fuel taxes more favorable for those who cannot afford this burden. For this, finding alternative revenue sources and balancing tax rates have become necessary.
Conclusion: There is a need for permanent solutions and accountability.
South Africa’s ever-rising fuel prices are no longer just a temporary crisis, but they have become a long-term socio-economic challenge. While on the one hand the volatility of the global market is increasing this crisis, on the other hand domestic tax policy is making it even more complex. The government should not only adopt transparency but also make long-term policies keeping the public interest in mind.
Unless the government ensures that tax money is going in the right direction, and until the common citizen does not feel relief, discontent will continue to grow. Therefore, there is a need that every policy, every tax and every decision should be examined and tested for the welfare of the public.
FAQs
Q. Why are fuel prices increasing in South Africa in July 2025?
A. Fuel prices are rising due to global oil market volatility, particularly fluctuations in Brent crude prices driven by geopolitical tensions and supply concerns.
Q. How much is petrol expected to increase by?
A. Petrol prices are projected to increase by 50 to 53 cents per litre, depending on the grade.
Q. What will diesel prices be after the hike?
A. Diesel prices may rise by 82 to 84 cents per litre, reaching around R18.65 at the coast and R19.41 inland.
Q. Did government taxes contribute to the price hike?
A. Yes, fuel taxes were raised in June 2025, adding 16 cents per litre on petrol and 15 cents on diesel, increasing the total tax burden.
Q. What impact will this have on everyday life?
A. The increase will raise transportation and logistics costs, leading to higher prices for goods and services, worsening the cost-of-living crisis for South Africans.